CHINA FAILING - SEE BELOW, AND ALSO https://biz-4-me.com/new-page-10 - MORE DETAIL

At Apprentice-Ed, we believe China has a 45% chance of failing on or before Sept 1, 2030. Apprentice-Ed will have to take over the clients for a number of China-related businesses in America, and in other countries. We have to prepare for that eventuality. The following summarize our research, pointing to this ultimate dropout of China from the world stage. China cities will become empty - zero population. Baby rate in cities is 0.61; for farmers is 1.7. Overall is 1.0 - but farmers will not convert to city life.

China’s baby rate is 1.0 - each woman of child-bearing age now will have 1.0 babies, on average - this is for all of China, all 1,400,000,000 - 1400 million. China’s baby rate for the 500 million farmers is 1.7. So what is the baby rate for the 900 million in the cities? Call it BR-C

Algebra: 900 x BR-C + 500 x 1.7 = 1400 x 1.0 - solve this, get BR-C for city women is 0.61. Horrifically low. Need 2.2 per woman to simply stay even. 9 million babies in total in 2024, with city babies equal to 900 x 0.61 /(900 x 0.61 + 500 x 1.7) x 9 million = 3.53 million.

Chinese cities will empty out; farmers will remain relatively stable. China cities will eventually become totally empty. Zero population in cities.